Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.161106 0.184171 0.210214 0.241966 0.279859 0.323910 0.379404
2025-06-29 0.124594 0.154389 0.191630 0.242317 0.310643 0.401234 0.533344
2025-07-06 0.101629 0.133328 0.175959 0.238960 0.332318 0.470028 0.697576
2025-07-13 0.088545 0.121583 0.168733 0.243359 0.363328 0.557949 0.919267
2025-07-20 0.079235 0.112992 0.163626 0.248634 0.395478 0.655268 1.194034
2025-07-27 0.071947 0.105965 0.159231 0.253423 0.427035 0.759941 1.528318
2025-08-03 0.066437 0.100723 0.156537 0.260072 0.462927 0.883468 1.964554
2025-08-10 0.061124 0.094986 0.151988 0.262247 0.490394 0.998433 2.445574
2025-08-17 0.056426 0.089628 0.147214 0.262914 0.514683 1.114553 3.004170
2025-08-24 0.052093 0.084355 0.141810 0.261242 0.533348 1.223879 3.621224
2025-08-31 0.048055 0.079139 0.135803 0.257217 0.545583 1.321315 4.276913
2025-09-07 0.045760 0.076802 0.134899 0.263777 0.585008 1.511091 5.467790
2025-09-14 0.042355 0.072130 0.129005 0.258646 0.594413 1.618381 6.436886
2025-09-21 0.040059 0.069337 0.126548 0.261017 0.624936 1.810206 8.082202
2025-09-28 0.037486 0.065758 0.122063 0.257854 0.639369 1.955151 9.698074
2025-10-05 0.035881 0.063919 0.120991 0.262826 0.679351 2.218704 12.574344
2025-10-12 0.034482 0.062353 0.120307 0.268666 0.724102 2.531070 16.573026
2025-10-19 0.033153 0.060799 0.119461 0.273947 0.769071 2.877342 21.934010
2025-10-26 0.032065 0.059643 0.119368 0.281272 0.823874 3.314562 29.995659
2025-11-02 0.030733 0.057853 0.117610 0.283669 0.862205 3.701473 39.392412
2025-11-09 0.029403 0.055956 0.115398 0.284403 0.894958 4.089259 51.285535
2025-11-16 0.028028 0.053851 0.112471 0.282562 0.917392 4.439404 65.288703
2025-11-23 0.026616 0.051560 0.108873 0.278128 0.928181 4.729098 80.817435